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Simple Business Cash Flow

A twelve-month forecast for a small business, drawn from four numbers. Move revenue, costs or starting cash and watch the cash line climb, flatten, or drop through zero.

0 3 6 9 12 Month Cash balance Status: healthy growth Cash-out line (0)
Net profit / month
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Cash runs out
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Cash at month 12
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What happens, in order Revenue → Variable cost → Fixed cost → Net profit → Cash balance
Display mode

Detailed Explanation

What is a cash-flow forecast?

It is a month-by-month track of how much cash a business holds. Starting from today's cash, it adds whatever profit each month leaves behind, so you can see the balance climb or fall over a year.

This simulator uses four inputs — monthly revenue, fixed cost, variable cost rate and starting cash — to draw that track and flag the month it would cross zero.

Why look at it?

Cash, not profit, is what keeps the lights on. A business can be profitable on paper and still run out of money if its cushion is thin or its losses come early.

Two ideas matter most: profit per month sets the slope of the line, and starting cash sets where the line begins, so together they decide whether it ever reaches zero.

Components & their role

1. Revenue arrives each month

The revenue slider sets how much money the business takes in per month. Everything else is measured against this figure.

2. Variable costs scale with revenue

A set percentage of revenue goes straight back out as variable cost — materials, sales fees, delivery. A higher rate shrinks the profit margin before anything else is paid.

3. Fixed costs are subtracted

Rent, salaries and other fixed costs do not change with sales. They are taken out every month, so they bite hardest when revenue is low.

4. Net profit is added to cash

Revenue minus both costs leaves the monthly net profit, which is added to the cash balance. A positive profit lifts the line; a negative one drags it down.

5. The forecast flags the danger month

The model steps through twelve months. If the balance stays above the dashed zero line it is safe; if it drops below, a red marker and warning note flag the month the cash runs out.

What is a cash-flow forecast?

It is a month-by-month picture of how much cash a business holds. It starts from the cash you have now and adds the net profit earned each month.

What is the difference between profit and cash?

This simple model treats them as linked: the net profit each month is added to the cash balance. A profitable month raises cash; a losing month lowers it.

What counts as fixed and variable costs?

Fixed costs stay the same whatever you sell, such as rent. Variable costs scale with revenue, and here are set as a percentage of monthly revenue.

How does the model find the break-even month?

It adds the monthly net profit to the starting cash again and again. The first month the running balance falls below zero is the month the cash runs out.

Why does a profitable business still run short of cash?

If the starting cash is small and the monthly profit is thin, or losses come early, the balance can dip below zero before enough profit builds up.

What do the three readouts tell me?

They show the net profit each month, the month the cash runs out or that it stays safe, and the cash balance left at month twelve.

Common Misconceptions

Profit and cash are the same thing. If the month is profitable, the money is there.
Cash is what you actually hold. Profit feeds cash over time, but the balance also depends on the cushion you started with.
A profitable business cannot run out of cash. Positive margins mean it is safe.
Too little cash can still sink it. Thin profit plus a small cushion can drive the balance below zero.
Fixed costs only matter when you are busy. They scale with how much you sell.
Fixed costs are charged every month. They do not shrink with sales, so they hurt most when revenue is low.
Cutting the variable cost rate always fixes the shortfall. One lever is enough on its own.
All four levers interact. Revenue, both cost figures and starting cash together decide the shape of the line.
Disclaimer: Diagrams are heavily simplified for educational demonstration only. Real-world systems contain far more variables and complexity. Not for engineering production use. Not financial, political or professional advice. Economic models here are simplified for teaching and are not investment or financial advice.